Following Bessent’s announcement on China, EURUSD extended its decline into this week. Now, the long-term trendline that began in 2008 is being retested. Downward pressure remains high, and the retreat may continue today. However, the former supply zone at 1.1050–1.11 could provide significant support, especially with the help of the long-term trendline.
Bessent stated that for 90 days, U.S. tariffs on China will be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China will lower tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. While the market had expected some positive developments, this move went far beyond those expectations. As a result, momentum currently favors EURUSD bears.
If the support zone fails, bearish momentum could accelerate, targeting the 1.07 area in the coming weeks. However, as long as the support holds, bears should proceed with caution.