EURUSD is sitting on the 200-hour simple moving average after failing to break the 1.1425 resistance. The implementation and then postponement of the proposed 50% tariffs on Europe added to short-term volatility. Formal trade talks between the EU and US are expected to begin soon.

The green trend channel has now formed, with previously tested key support and resistance levels continuing to play a major role. EURUSD tends to test these key points at the same time with the trendlines. The next major level to watch is 1.1275, which aligns closely with the lower bound of the channel. As long as this level holds, a bullish reaction is possible. To the upside, 1.1375–1.1425 remains the critical resistance zone.

If 1.1275 breaks, downside targets could include 1.1215 in the short term and the broader 1.1050–1.11 zone over the medium term.